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Red186
590760.6
46164.6
756742.1
Blue170
544972.3
282656.4
1021335.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16913150100150200250186170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
6Coral scored#10
32Coral points51
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +24
24Coral scored#23
87Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
127Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#12
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
186Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#38
64.61.8
60.662.4
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
blue by 7.7
5449
#31
72.33.8
53.857.6
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
Second
5907
#12
60.61.8
55.156.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End2.8
red by 4.1
2826
#41
56.42.8
40.543.4
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
Third
7567
#51
42.11.8
41.943.6
Auto13.7
Teleop28.5
End-0.1
red by 7.1
35.02.8
33.236.0
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned