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Red236
680082.5
205476.6
260777.7
Blue142
4555.6
439850.3
477668.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266170100150200250300350236142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+92Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
6Leave3
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points16
61Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +50
30Coral scored#19
109Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
18Processor points18
32Net points24
50Algae points42
159Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#7
13L3#8
11L2#5
8L1 · trough#2
52Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
236Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.4
88.887.3
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
red by 13.6
4776
#45
68.82.6
65.462.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
Second
77.71.4
79.578.1
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
red by 22.1
45
#10
55.62.6
51.548.9
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
Third
2054
#50
76.61.4
75.173.6
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8
red by 26.3
4398
#54
50.32.6
50.547.9
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed