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Red205
36571.4
68657.8
132575.4
Blue186
516665.4
873922.4
441491.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195170100150250300205186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
47Coral points31
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +29
32Coral scored#23
114Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
154Total teleop125
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#9
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
205Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.8
70.471.2
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
blue by 16.5
91.90.9
81.782.6
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
Second
365
#40
71.40.8
69.770.6
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
red by 6.0
5166
#18
65.40.9
58.559.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
Third
686
#37
57.80.8
41.242.0
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
red by 35.5
8739
#75
22.40.9
21.522.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned