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Red168
69576.5
58926.2
425345.8
Blue236
373954.7
803374.6
1690104.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162255100200300350168236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points38
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +33
23Coral scored#25
81Coral points90
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
109Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#16
7L3#7
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points24
168Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
76.50.2
74.374.1
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
blue by 28.0
104.52.2
100.798.5
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
Second
4253
#56
45.80.2
53.052.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
blue by 28.8
8033
#43
74.62.2
79.076.8
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
Third
589
#62
26.20.2
29.729.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End7.6
blue by 28.5
3739
#33
54.72.2
50.748.5
Auto8.1
Teleop42.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned