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Red158
1048236.7
54856.3
282656.4
Blue229
36571.4
4555.6
473874.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13521850100200250300350158229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+59
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
19Coral scored#32
70Coral points116
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
18Processor points24
20Net points16
38Algae points40
108Total teleop156
Reef
9L4#12
7L3#10
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#9
32Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
158Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#41
56.40.6
43.443.9
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
blue by 18.1
4738
#11
74.51.3
71.272.5
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
548
#58
56.30.6
50.551.1
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
blue by 15.1
365
#40
71.41.3
70.671.8
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Third
36.70.6
35.436.0
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
blue by 19.0
45
#10
55.61.3
48.950.2
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned