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Qual 292025 Johnson Division
Red216
670662.8
635763.3
591373.0
Blue202
477668.8
544972.3
440350.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176173140160200220216202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points49
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +44
37Coral scored#28
132Coral points100
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
172Total teleop128
Reef
13L4#12
11L3#11
13L2#8
6L1 · trough#7
51Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
216Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
73.02.7
63.8→66.5
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 0.7
5449
#31
72.32.4
57.6→60.0
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
Second
6357
#32
63.32.7
51.4→54.1
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
blue by 5.5
4776
#45
68.82.0
62.8→64.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
Third
6706
#28
62.82.7
52.2→54.9
Auto18.0
Teleop40.8
End4.0
red by 11.9
4403
#65
50.92.0
43.5→45.5
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned