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Red146
552655.9
164861.0
861347.4
Blue155
293080.5
298749.1
186035.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153176100200250300146155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
98Total teleop116
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#7
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
146Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#39
61.00.1
52.752.8
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
blue by 19.5
80.50.4
75.775.3
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Second
5526
#27
55.90.1
46.046.1
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
red by 6.8
2987
#21
49.10.4
49.749.3
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
Third
8613
#67
47.40.1
46.246.3
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
red by 12.0
1860
#49
35.40.4
35.134.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned