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Red183
205476.6
33335.9
516665.4
Blue197
212262.2
161971.8
331479.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171233100150200250300350183197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points35
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +29
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points69
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
88Total teleop117
Reef
7L4#12
9L3#5
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
12Foul points0
183Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#50
76.60.6
73.674.3
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8
blue by 3.2
3314
#13
79.81.1
80.479.4
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Second
5166
#18
65.40.6
59.460.0
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
blue by 6.4
71.81.1
68.367.2
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
Third
333
#66
35.90.6
25.826.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
blue by 26.3
2122
#22
62.21.1
61.260.1
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned