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Red147
691971.3
873922.4
34243.8
Blue189
171855.9
207358.6
31662.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14518550100200250300147189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+44
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points85
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
30Processor points18
16Net points32
46Algae points50
108Total teleop135
Reef
6L4#10
8L3#7
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
147Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#35
71.30.2
68.368.6
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
red by 8.5
316
#55
62.70.9
60.261.0
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Second
342
#61
43.80.2
46.646.8
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
blue by 14.8
2073
#57
58.60.9
50.251.0
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
Third
8739
#75
22.40.2
22.322.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 33.5
1718
#42
55.90.9
53.854.7
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed