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Red175
535261.7
641341.1
680082.5
Blue143
24558.9
56424.1
623860.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212150100200250300175143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
102Total teleop107
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#5
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
175Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.6
87.385.7
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
red by 21.7
6238
#44
60.80.3
61.861.5
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
Second
5352
#20
61.71.6
58.656.9
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
red by 2.8
245
#46
58.90.3
55.355.0
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
Third
6413
#69
41.11.6
42.540.8
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
red by 17.0
564
#74
24.10.3
18.918.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed