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Red214
207358.6
293080.5
544972.3
Blue167
784045.3
366861.5
212262.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206175100150250300214167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +38
28Coral scored#18
100Coral points64
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
24Processor points18
20Net points24
44Algae points42
144Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#6
12L3#8
11L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
214Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.51.8
75.377.2
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
red by 18.3
2122
#22
62.20.3
60.160.4
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
Second
5449
#31
72.32.1
60.062.0
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
red by 10.8
3668
#30
61.50.3
57.257.5
Auto14.8
Teleop38.8
End7.9
Third
2073
#57
58.61.8
51.052.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
red by 13.3
7840
#60
45.30.3
45.445.7
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned