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Red202
440350.9
171855.9
591373.0
Blue225
33335.9
441491.9
164861.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183178160170190200210220230202225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +19
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points86
4Processor algae#6
6Net algae#10
24Processor points36
24Net points40
48Algae points76
143Total teleop162
Reef
10L4#12
13L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
202Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
73.01.6
66.568.1
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
blue by 18.9
91.93.5
81.985.4
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
Second
1718
#42
55.91.6
54.756.3
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
blue by 5.1
1648
#39
61.03.5
52.856.3
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
Third
4403
#65
50.91.6
45.547.1
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
red by 15.0
333
#66
35.93.5
26.429.9
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned