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Qual 432025 Johnson Division
Red88
873922.4
623860.8
1048236.7
Blue122
258652.9
516665.4
186035.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12716005010020025030035088122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
54Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points0
88Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6238
#44
60.82.7
61.5→58.8
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
blue by 4.6
5166
#18
65.41.7
60.0→58.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
Second
10482
#59
36.72.7
36.0→33.3
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
blue by 16.2
2586
#47
52.91.7
50.5→48.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
Third
8739
#75
22.42.7
22.6→19.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 13.1
1860
#49
35.41.7
34.8→33.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed