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Qual 442025 Johnson Division
Red204
635763.3
886647.5
641341.1
Blue209
260777.7
535261.7
36571.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14023450100200250300350204209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points51
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#23
68Coral points84
4Processor algae#4
10Net algae#3
24Processor points24
40Net points12
64Algae points36
132Total teleop120
Reef
7L4#12
11L3#10
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points2
204Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#32
63.33.3
54.1→57.4
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
blue by 14.4
2607
#5
77.70.7
77.4→76.7
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
Second
8866
#53
47.53.3
42.4→45.7
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
blue by 23.9
365
#40
71.40.7
71.8→71.2
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Third
6413
#69
41.13.3
40.8→44.1
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
blue by 20.7
5352
#20
61.70.7
56.9→56.2
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned