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Red164
46164.6
1021335.0
271467.4
Blue103
570514.6
31662.7
660622.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19810250150250300164103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+57Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +39
22Coral scored#10
80Coral points37
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
114Total teleop75
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#3
9L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
164Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.40.4
65.465.0
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
red by 4.6
316
#55
62.70.2
61.061.2
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Second
461
#38
64.60.4
62.562.0
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
red by 41.8
6606
#64
22.80.2
18.318.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
35.00.4
36.536.1
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
red by 20.4
5705
#72
14.60.2
15.415.6
Auto1.7
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed