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Red178
425345.8
590760.6
161971.8
Blue106
1059821.0
473874.5
56424.1
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20211550100150250300178106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+76Teleop
+66Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#14
69Coral points51
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
30Processor points12
24Net points8
54Algae points20
123Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#2
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
6Foul points0
178Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.1
67.266.1
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
blue by 2.8
4738
#11
74.50.8
72.571.7
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
5907
#12
60.61.1
56.855.7
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End2.8
red by 36.5
564
#74
24.10.8
18.617.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Third
4253
#56
45.81.1
52.851.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
red by 24.8
21.00.8
16.315.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned