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Red203
68657.8
670662.8
477668.8
Blue201
11186.7
691971.3
861347.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166211100150250300203201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave3
7Coral scored#11
33Coral points53
33Total auto56
TeleoperatedRed +35
29Coral scored#22
104Coral points79
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
24Processor points18
16Net points12
40Algae points30
144Total teleop109
Reef
13L4#11
11L3#11
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
203Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#45
68.82.2
64.866.9
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
blue by 17.8
111
#4
86.70.4
84.484.0
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
6706
#28
62.82.2
54.957.1
Auto18.0
Teleop40.8
End4.0
blue by 8.4
6919
#35
71.30.4
68.668.1
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
Third
686
#37
57.82.2
42.144.2
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
red by 10.4
8613
#67
47.40.4
46.345.8
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned