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Red184
366861.5
282656.4
552655.9
Blue257
591373.0
69576.5
441491.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157247100200300350184257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+73
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points42
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +66
26Coral scored#27
92Coral points98
2Processor algae#8
5Net algae#11
12Processor points48
20Net points44
32Algae points92
124Total teleop190
Reef
17L4#11
6L3#11
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
184Total score257

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#30
61.51.4
57.558.8
Auto14.8
Teleop38.8
End7.9
blue by 30.4
91.91.2
85.486.6
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
Second
2826
#41
56.41.4
46.948.2
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
blue by 20.0
695
#16
76.51.2
73.875.0
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Third
5526
#27
55.91.4
47.749.1
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
blue by 17.1
5913
#15
73.01.2
68.169.3
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned