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Red162
440350.9
623860.8
803374.6
Blue180
602427.9
293080.5
886647.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210160100250300162180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+20
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points24
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +41
18Coral scored#25
66Coral points91
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
90Total teleop131
Reef
12L4#10
4L3#11
7L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points0
162Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#43
74.62.4
78.476.0
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
blue by 5.9
80.51.4
77.278.5
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Second
6238
#44
60.82.4
58.856.4
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
red by 13.3
8866
#53
47.51.4
45.747.1
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
Third
4403
#65
50.92.4
47.144.7
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
red by 23.1
6024
#52
27.91.4
25.526.9
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned