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Red119
113857.3
641341.1
186035.4
Blue229
161971.8
519974.6
46164.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13621850100150200250300119229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+88
Endgame+110
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave3
1Coral scored#9
7Coral points44
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +57
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points84
3Processor algae#6
5Net algae#9
18Processor points36
20Net points36
38Algae points72
99Total teleop156
Reef
5L4#12
5L3#10
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points0
119Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#17
57.31.2
59.358.1
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
blue by 17.3
5199
#29
74.62.0
71.173.1
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
Second
6413
#69
41.11.2
44.143.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
blue by 30.7
71.82.0
66.168.1
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
Third
1860
#49
35.41.2
33.131.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
blue by 29.2
461
#38
64.62.0
62.064.0
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned