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Red133
56424.1
815964.4
129663.2
Blue184
473874.5
164861.0
1048236.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142180100200250300133184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+45
Endgame+45
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +28
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points68
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#7
12Processor points30
12Net points28
24Algae points58
98Total teleop126
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points6
133Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8159
#19
64.40.0
58.158.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2
blue by 10.2
4738
#11
74.51.1
71.772.8
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
1296
#36
63.20.0
57.657.5
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
red by 2.2
1648
#39
61.01.1
56.357.4
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
Third
564
#74
24.10.0
17.817.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
blue by 12.6
36.71.1
33.334.4
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned