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Red199
11186.7
260777.7
784045.3
Blue125
942742.1
171855.9
298749.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23314950100200250300350199125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+60Teleop
+68Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave9
10Coral scored#3
50Coral points14
50Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#15
81Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
119Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#6
9L3#6
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points0
199Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#4
86.70.9
84.083.1
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
red by 30.8
1718
#42
55.91.4
56.354.9
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
Second
77.70.9
76.775.8
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
red by 28.6
2987
#21
49.11.4
47.345.9
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
Third
7840
#60
45.30.9
45.744.8
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
red by 3.2
9427
#68
42.11.4
41.740.4
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned