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Red230
463575.4
24558.9
68657.8
Blue159
31662.7
33335.9
58926.2
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19312550100150250300230159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+71Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points33
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +67
34Coral scored#19
123Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
167Total teleop100
Reef
14L4#7
12L3#10
10L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
230Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
75.43.4
69.172.6
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
red by 12.6
316
#55
62.71.9
61.263.2
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Second
245
#46
58.93.4
54.057.4
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
red by 23.0
333
#66
35.91.9
29.931.9
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Third
686
#37
57.83.4
44.247.7
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
red by 31.6
589
#62
26.21.9
27.529.4
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned