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Red196
756742.1
4555.6
115669.5
Blue153
570514.6
861347.4
258652.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17611850100150200250300196153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#27
95Coral points97
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
127Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#14
12L3#8
9L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
196Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#24
69.51.8
58.660.4
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7
red by 16.6
2586
#47
52.92.1
48.850.9
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
Second
45
#10
55.61.8
53.154.9
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
red by 8.2
8613
#67
47.42.1
45.847.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
Third
7567
#51
42.11.8
39.841.6
Auto13.7
Teleop28.5
End-0.1
red by 27.5
5705
#72
14.62.1
15.617.7
Auto1.7
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned