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Red235
129663.2
441491.9
519974.6
Blue120
535261.7
54856.3
873922.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24013150100150200300350235120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+95Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points20
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +67
35Coral scored#19
126Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
158Total teleop91
Reef
14L4#8
14L3#8
8L2#5
9L1 · trough#2
52Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
235Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.91.2
86.687.8
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 30.2
5352
#20
61.70.6
57.256.6
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
Second
5199
#29
74.61.2
73.174.2
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
red by 18.3
548
#58
56.30.6
51.250.6
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
Third
1296
#36
63.21.2
57.558.7
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
red by 40.8
8739
#75
22.40.6
20.419.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
100%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed