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Red170
477668.8
167663.6
31662.7
Blue131
113857.3
298749.1
784045.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20915350100250300170131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+25Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#4
12Processor points18
32Net points16
44Algae points34
117Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
14Foul points0
170Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#45
68.82.3
66.864.5
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
red by 11.5
1138
#17
57.31.2
58.156.9
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
Second
1676
#26
63.62.3
60.258.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End9.8
red by 14.5
2987
#21
49.11.2
45.944.8
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
Third
316
#55
62.72.3
63.260.9
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
red by 17.5
7840
#60
45.31.2
44.843.6
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned