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Red137
463575.4
258652.9
602427.9
Blue161
473874.5
660622.8
212262.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16517050100150200250300350137161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+49
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +49
9Leave3
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points55
9Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#6
18Processor points6
36Net points24
54Algae points30
112Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
12Foul points0
137Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#14
75.42.7
72.669.8
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
red by 0.8
4738
#11
74.50.7
72.872.1
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
2586
#47
52.92.7
50.948.2
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
blue by 9.3
2122
#22
62.20.7
61.060.3
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
Third
6024
#52
27.92.7
26.924.1
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
red by 5.0
6606
#64
22.80.7
19.018.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned