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Red121
886647.5
171855.9
58926.2
Blue58
186035.4
1059821.0
756742.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559205020025012158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+51Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
53Total teleop27
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
12Foul points0
121Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#42
55.91.5
54.953.4
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
red by 13.8
7567
#51
42.12.0
41.639.6
Auto13.7
Teleop28.5
End-0.1
Second
8866
#53
47.51.5
47.145.6
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
red by 12.1
1860
#49
35.42.0
31.929.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
Third
589
#62
26.21.5
29.427.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End7.6
red by 5.2
21.02.0
14.412.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed