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Red210
282656.4
164861.0
110855.1
Blue149
674931.1
68657.8
641341.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213050100150200250300210149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#22
68Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
118Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#9
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
2Foul points0
210Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#39
61.03.1
57.460.6
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
red by 3.2
686
#37
57.81.9
47.749.6
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
Second
2826
#41
56.43.1
48.251.4
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
red by 15.4
6413
#69
41.11.9
43.044.9
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
Third
1108
#34
55.13.1
55.658.7
Auto10.5
Teleop36.3
End8.2
red by 23.9
6749
#73
31.11.9
29.631.5
Auto9.9
Teleop18.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned