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Red220
942742.1
11186.7
46164.6
Blue188
293080.5
1048236.7
205476.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2002110100300400220188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
11Coral scored#8
54Coral points41
57Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
24Coral scored#23
85Coral points82
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
24Processor points12
28Net points20
52Algae points32
137Total teleop114
Reef
12L4#12
12L3#8
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points4
220Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#4
86.71.6
83.184.7
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
red by 6.2
80.50.9
78.577.7
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Second
461
#38
64.61.6
64.065.6
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
blue by 12.1
2054
#50
76.60.9
75.874.9
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8
Third
9427
#68
42.11.6
40.442.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
red by 5.4
36.70.9
34.433.5
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed90%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned