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Red203
260777.7
33335.9
544972.3
Blue177
494746.7
752060.2
861347.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190158100200250300203177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points43
44Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +13
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points68
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#10
30Processor points12
16Net points40
46Algae points52
133Total teleop120
Reef
10L4#11
9L3#9
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
203Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.71.4
75.877.2
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
red by 17.6
7520
#25
60.21.2
53.054.2
Auto18.4
Teleop39.8
End2.0
Second
5449
#31
72.31.4
62.664.0
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
red by 24.9
8613
#67
47.41.2
47.949.1
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
Third
333
#66
35.91.4
31.933.3
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
blue by 10.9
4947
#63
46.71.2
46.748.0
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed