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Red262
1690104.5
815964.4
331479.8
Blue209
36571.4
680082.5
1021335.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263206150250300350262209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
13Coral scored#11
63Coral points55
72Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +33
31Coral scored#24
112Coral points87
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
158Total teleop125
Reef
17L4#14
10L3#9
12L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
54Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
262Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.50.3
100.7101.1
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
red by 22.1
82.50.4
85.585.8
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
Second
3314
#13
79.80.3
80.881.2
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
red by 8.5
365
#40
71.40.4
69.970.3
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Third
8159
#19
64.40.3
58.158.4
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2
red by 29.4
35.00.4
36.536.9
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned90%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned