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Red151
602427.9
34243.8
24558.9
Blue253
516665.4
11186.7
544972.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13023750100150200300350151253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+82
Endgame+102
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +34
3Leave3
4Coral scored#11
20Coral points54
23Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +48
17Coral scored#29
62Coral points104
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#8
18Processor points24
32Net points32
50Algae points56
112Total teleop160
Reef
5L4#15
7L3#14
7L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
0Foul points0
151Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#46
58.90.9
58.058.9
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
blue by 27.7
111
#4
86.72.2
84.786.9
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
342
#61
43.80.9
43.844.7
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
blue by 28.5
5449
#31
72.32.2
64.066.2
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
Third
6024
#52
27.90.9
24.125.1
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
blue by 37.5
5166
#18
65.42.2
60.562.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned