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Qual 832025 Johnson Division
Red209
590760.6
623860.8
373954.7
Blue164
33335.9
784045.3
36571.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188163100150200250209164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +48
35Coral scored#16
125Coral points57
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
18Processor points30
20Net points28
38Algae points58
163Total teleop115
Reef
16L4#6
11L3#6
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
209Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6238
#44
60.82.1
57.1→59.2
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
blue by 10.6
365
#40
71.40.4
70.3→70.7
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Second
5907
#12
60.62.1
56.9→58.9
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End2.8
red by 15.3
7840
#60
45.30.4
43.6→44.0
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
Third
3739
#33
54.72.1
52.7→54.8
Auto8.1
Teleop42.9
End3.7
red by 18.8
333
#66
35.90.4
33.3→33.7
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned