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Red205
331479.8
113857.3
271467.4
Blue205
473874.5
670662.8
971746.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221183100150200250300205205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
12Coral scored#10
58Coral points52
58Total auto61
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Coral scored#27
65Coral points96
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
18Processor points12
36Net points20
54Algae points32
119Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#14
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
205Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#13
79.8
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
red by 5.3
4738
#11
74.5
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
67.4
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
red by 4.5
6706
#28
62.8
Auto18.0
Teleop40.8
End4.0
Third
1138
#17
57.3
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
red by 10.9
9717
#48
46.4
Auto5.5
Teleop32.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned