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Red163
861347.4
1021335.0
58180.7
Blue202
591373.0
494746.7
205476.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176217150200250300163202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+19
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave0
5Coral scored#10
25Coral points51
31Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +1
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
116Total teleop115
Reef
8L4#12
10L3#11
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
163Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#23
80.70.2
79.879.6
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
red by 4.0
2054
#50
76.60.6
74.975.5
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8
Second
8613
#67
47.40.2
49.149.0
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
blue by 25.6
5913
#15
73.00.6
70.971.4
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Third
35.00.2
36.936.7
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
blue by 11.8
4947
#63
46.70.6
48.048.5
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned