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Red176
69576.5
186035.4
33335.9
Blue193
602427.9
167663.6
544972.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15316350100200250300176193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#24
71Coral points86
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
113Total teleop120
Reef
7L4#12
9L3#8
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
176Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
76.52.4
77.079.4
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 4.2
5449
#31
72.33.0
66.269.2
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
Second
333
#66
35.92.4
33.736.1
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
blue by 27.7
1676
#26
63.63.0
57.060.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End9.8
Third
1860
#49
35.42.4
29.331.7
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
red by 7.6
6024
#52
27.93.0
25.128.0
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned