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Red238
115669.5
132575.4
535261.7
Blue257
282656.4
463575.4
11186.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212229150200250300238257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
10Coral scored#11
48Coral points55
51Total auto64
TeleoperatedRed +4
25Coral scored#34
91Coral points123
5Processor algae#3
10Net algae#4
30Processor points18
40Net points16
70Algae points34
161Total teleop157
Reef
16L4#14
9L3#15
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#7
50Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
238Total score257

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.41.9
72.574.5
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
blue by 11.3
111
#4
86.72.1
86.989.0
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
1156
#24
69.51.9
66.068.0
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7
blue by 5.9
4635
#14
75.42.1
72.374.4
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Third
5352
#20
61.71.9
59.061.0
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
red by 5.3
2826
#41
56.42.1
54.756.8
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned