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Red268
207358.6
441491.9
1690104.5
Blue245
680082.5
293080.5
205476.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271255200300350268245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
14Coral scored#13
68Coral points63
68Total auto72
TeleoperatedRed +29
32Coral scored#26
114Coral points93
6Processor algae#2
6Net algae#10
36Processor points12
24Net points40
60Algae points52
174Total teleop145
Reef
18L4#13
9L3#11
12L2#9
7L1 · trough#6
58Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points2
268Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.50.4
103.0103.4
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
red by 22.1
82.50.0
82.982.9
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
Second
91.90.4
90.490.8
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 11.4
80.50.0
80.981.0
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Third
2073
#57
58.60.4
57.157.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
blue by 18.1
2054
#50
76.60.0
77.177.1
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8