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Red228
31662.7
58180.7
161971.8
Blue254
11186.7
463575.4
115669.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225252150200300350228254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +25
28Coral scored#38
102Coral points135
2Processor algae#4
11Net algae#6
12Processor points24
44Net points24
56Algae points48
158Total teleop183
Reef
10L4#18
15L3#9
8L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
228Total score254

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#23
80.70.3
80.480.7
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
blue by 6.0
111
#4
86.70.4
87.487.8
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
71.80.3
71.571.8
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
blue by 3.6
4635
#14
75.40.4
76.176.5
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Third
316
#55
62.70.3
62.462.7
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
blue by 6.7
1156
#24
69.50.4
70.370.7
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7