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Red217
803374.6
473874.5
260777.7
Blue227
815964.4
331479.8
271467.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242224150200300350217227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#10
30Coral points51
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +11
30Coral scored#26
107Coral points94
3Processor algae#4
9Net algae#8
18Processor points24
36Net points32
54Algae points56
161Total teleop150
Reef
15L4#11
9L3#12
4L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
217Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.70.2
78.077.7
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
blue by 2.1
3314
#13
79.80.3
79.880.1
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Second
8033
#43
74.60.2
74.874.6
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
red by 7.2
67.40.3
67.367.7
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
Third
4738
#11
74.50.2
74.874.5
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
red by 10.2
8159
#19
64.40.3
64.364.7
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2