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Red193
31662.7
58180.7
161971.8
Blue232
680082.5
293080.5
205476.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227261150200250300350193232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+51
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points42
41Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +19
23Coral scored#31
82Coral points113
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
126Total teleop145
Reef
9L4#16
10L3#11
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
40Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +39
12Foul points0
193Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#23
80.70.8
81.180.4
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
blue by 1.8
82.50.2
83.182.9
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
Second
71.80.8
72.271.5
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
blue by 8.7
80.50.2
81.180.9
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Third
316
#55
62.70.8
63.262.4
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
blue by 13.9
2054
#50
76.60.2
77.377.1
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8