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Red99
184741.2
931622.2
110851.8
Blue117
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130113608010012014016018020099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+26
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
47Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +18
8Foul points0
99Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.8
52.651.8
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 9.1
42.70.1
42.642.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
41.20.8
42.041.2
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
37.10.1
37.037.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
9316
#29
22.20.8
23.022.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 3.5
5013
#16
25.70.1
25.625.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7