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Red104
184741.2
931622.2
110851.8
Blue150
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321116080100120140160180200104150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
74Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points20
104Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.5
53.052.6
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 9.1
42.70.5
42.142.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
41.20.5
42.542.0
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
37.10.5
36.637.0
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
9316
#29
22.20.5
23.423.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 3.5
5013
#16
25.70.5
25.125.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7