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Red61
173057.3
198655.6
Blue113
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391065015020061113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+60
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +39
4Coral scored#10
16Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
20Total teleop59
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +52
2Foul points4
61Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.31.5
58.957.3
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 14.7
42.70.1
42.042.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
55.61.5
57.155.6
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 18.4
37.10.1
36.536.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
9.61.5
11.19.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 16.1
5013
#16
25.70.1
25.025.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7