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Red114
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
Blue76
526831.8
172329.7
241025.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139240608010014016018011476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+48Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
86Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
114Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.3
41.842.0
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
red by 10.9
31.80.3
32.131.8
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Second
37.10.3
36.236.5
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 7.4
1723
#10
29.70.3
30.029.7
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
Third
5013
#16
25.70.3
24.825.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 0.1
2410
#30
25.60.3
25.925.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0