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Red117
173057.3
198655.6
Blue129
184741.2
931622.2
110851.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213050100200250117129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
64Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points12
117Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.3
59.258.9
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 5.6
51.80.1
53.253.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
Second
55.60.3
57.457.1
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 14.3
41.20.1
42.642.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Third
9.60.3
11.411.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 12.6
9316
#29
22.20.1
23.523.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2