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Red84
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
Blue34
511916.1
495919.5
509824.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120610501001508434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
16Coral scored#4
57Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
71Total teleop17
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points2
84Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.4
42.241.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
red by 18.7
5098
#15
24.00.7
24.724.0
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Second
37.10.4
36.636.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 17.6
19.50.7
20.219.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Third
5013
#16
25.70.4
25.224.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 9.6
5119
#34
16.10.7
16.716.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End3.3