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Red80
184741.2
931622.2
Blue91
176430.3
181033.3
110851.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610601502008091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
63Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
80Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.23.1
20.523.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
blue by 10.5
51.80.2
44.244.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
Second
9316
#29
22.21.8
16.218.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 11.1
1810
#13
33.30.2
22.722.5
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Third
9.63.1
12.915.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 20.7
1764
#20
30.30.4
24.824.4
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed