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Red73
495919.5
93531.2
955127.5
Blue33
511916.1
480920.0
93713.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8660020401001201407333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
61Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
73Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#19
31.20.8
27.126.3
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 11.2
4809
#21
20.03.1
15.112.0
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Second
9551
#23
27.50.8
22.922.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
red by 11.5
5119
#34
16.13.1
22.319.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Third
19.50.8
24.123.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 6.3
937
#33
13.23.1
18.315.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed